Grand Junction, Colorado, is set for an unseasonably mild and dry week in January 2026, with sunshine dominating and little moisture in sight. This pattern raises concerns about worsening drought and ongoing avalanche risks in nearby mountains, as reported in the latest forecasts and updates.
Weather Forecast for the Week
Local meteorologists predict mostly sunny skies across western Colorado this week. Temperatures will climb into the 40s and low 50s, which is warmer than usual for mid January.
Highs start in the low 40s on Monday and Tuesday, then push to around 50 degrees by midweek. A slight cool down brings temperatures back to the 40s on Friday, but the area stays milder than normal. No major storms are expected, leaving the region dry and in need of rain or snow.
This warmth follows a brief wet spell last week, but clouds this week will not deliver the moisture Grand Junction badly needs. Evening lows dip into the 20s, with clear nights adding to the dry feel.
Residents should prepare for these conditions by staying hydrated and watching for fire risks in the arid environment.
Rising Avalanche Dangers in the Mountains
Avalanche risks remain high in the Elk Mountains and other high elevation areas near Grand Junction. Recent reports show dozens of slides, with conditions expected to stay dangerous through at least early next week.
Experts warn that large avalanches are possible above 10,500 feet, especially on north and east facing slopes steeper than 30 degrees. Since last Sunday, nearly 100 avalanches have been documented, including 23 over the weekend.
Backcountry travelers must avoid these risky zones until stability improves. Mitigation efforts by state teams continue, but the mix of prior heavy snow and current dry warmth heightens the threat.
Local officials urge checking daily avalanche forecasts before heading into the mountains. Safety classes and gear checks can help reduce risks for those who venture out.
This situation ties into broader winter patterns, where early snow has not held due to mild temperatures.
Drought Conditions Worsen Across Colorado
The latest drought monitor update reveals intensifying dry conditions in central and northern Colorado mountains. Exceptional and extreme drought levels are expanding around areas like Eagle, Aspen, and Vail, extending west along the Colorado River.
Severe drought affects regions from Glenwood Springs to Grand Mesa, with moderate drought reaching Grand Junction itself. This update does not yet include last week’s moisture, which may offer slight relief in the next report due Thursday.
Western Colorado’s snowpack sits well below average, raising fears for summer water supplies. The Colorado River basin depends on mountain snow, but warm, dry weather has led to a snow drought across much of the West.
- Exceptional drought covers key mountain areas, limiting water flow.
- Extreme drought is spreading north, impacting reservoirs.
- Severe drought hits valleys, affecting agriculture and rivers.
- Moderate drought lingers in lower elevations like Grand Junction.
These trends aggravate long term water issues, with negotiations over Colorado River allocations growing tense.
Impacts on Local Communities and Economy
The mild dry weather affects daily life in Grand Junction and surrounding areas. Farmers worry about soil moisture for spring planting, while ski resorts report lower than normal snow levels.
Tourism takes a hit as visitors seek better conditions elsewhere, though some enjoy the warmer days for outdoor activities. Water restrictions may tighten if the drought persists, urging conservation now.
In nearby towns like Delta and Montrose, similar patterns mean planning for potential shortages. Recent wildfires in 2025 highlighted how dry winters increase summer fire risks.
Communities are adapting with measures like efficient irrigation and community education on water use.
| Area | Expected High Temp (Midweek) | Drought Level | Avalanche Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Junction | 50 degrees | Moderate | Low (valley) |
| Elk Mountains | 40 degrees | Severe | High (above 10,500 ft) |
| Colorado River Valley | 48 degrees | Severe | Moderate |
| Grand Mesa | 45 degrees | Severe | High |
| Montrose | 44 degrees | Moderate | Low |
This table shows key areas with their weather and risk profiles.
Looking Ahead to Potential Changes
Forecasts suggest the mild dry spell could continue into late January, but a possible storm system might bring relief next week. Models show mixed precipitation in the Upper Midwest, with chances of reaching Colorado.
If trends hold, the region faces deeper drought impacts, including lower reservoir levels in Lakes Powell and Mead. Experts call for monitoring climate patterns like La Nina, which often brings drier winters to the Southwest.
Residents can stay informed through local weather apps and state resources. Preparing now for water conservation helps mitigate long term effects.
Share your thoughts on how this weather affects you, and comment below on ways to handle the drought.
